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Insights and Analysis
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India gets ready for goods-and-services tax
June 23, 2017
Even if inflation bottoms out later this year, its recovery is likely to be modest. Apart from inflation, lower financing costs will help investment growth. Our Taylor rule estimates, along with wide...
The deleveraging drag
June 23, 2017
Deleveraging will restrain private consumption in Thailand. Given that private consumption makes up about half of GDP, one should expect real GDP growth to remain at about 3.5% per year in the medium...
A mulish consistency
June 21, 2017
With the recovery in its eighth year, the Fed won’t waste any time in raising rates. Best expect one hike per quarter until early-2019 with the risk that the Fed has to up the pace before then.
Economics Daily
- Asia
- Global
Record low current account deficit points to stability in e...
June 23, 2017
India’s FY16/17 current account deficit hit its lowest point in more than a decade. Improving external balances will shield against unexpected external shocks.
Speculation of SGD strength intensifies
June 23, 2017
The spread of 3M Libor over the 3M Singapore swap offer rate has widened to 62 basis points. Even as the SGD weakens, speculation of SGD strength intensified, dragging the 3M SOR lower.
Philippines’ central bank sees inflation softening
June 23, 2017
While maintaining that risks to inflation remain tilted towards the upside, the BSP also hinted at a lower trajectory of future inflation.
Market Movers
- Daily Digest
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China and Hong Kong shares end lower
June 23, 2017
Taiwan reaches a new high and other regional peers rise
Featured Publications
Q3: Forging ahead
June 08, 2017
Everything in the economy is back to normal. Best plan on one hike per quarter through mid-2019, with the risk that the Federal Reserve has to up the pace before then.
Indonesian multi-finance companies: Bridging gaps with the ...
May 25, 2017
The opportunity to reach out to Indonesia’s vast unbanked population may lie with the country’s multi-finance companies; we take a look at the key players, the potential for growth, and what lies ahe...
Q2: Lemmings, the Euro and the Sea
March 09, 2017
Everyone is betting on a stronger US dollar this year, largely on expectations of rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. But the Europe and the euro could have a bigger impact on global markets than anyt...