Kopi time with Taimur Baig podcast E58


Komal Sri-Kumar on Fed policy, inflation, and asset markets.
Group Research07 Jul 2021
DBS


Podcast transcript

"The risk is the Fed doesn’t overshoot 2% inflation by a small margin, but by a large amount.”

"Low interest rate cannot help the poor who don’t own real and financial assets. They need wage increases."

Astute long-term market observer Komal Sri-Kumar (President of Sri-Kumar Global Strategies, Senior Fellow at the Milken Institute) returns to Kopi Time to share his concerns on economic overheating, inflation risks, Fed credibility, housing market, and rising inequality. Sri switched from being a long-term US fixed income bull to a bear earlier this year, expecting 2%+ 10-yr US bond yield by the end of the year. He is not only worried about the knock-on impact of prolonged monetary easing on inflation and financial stability in the US, but the likely destabilising global implications through the liquidity and exchange rate channels. He is short duration, neutral to bearish USD, long gold, and long commodities (food, energy, metals). He has no conviction on equities, especially given the high valuations and the risk of Fed misstep.





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Taimur Baig, Ph.D.

Chief Economist - G3 & Asia
[email protected]
 
 

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