Economics

Daily analysis of the latest economic data points and policy developments in Asia and the major economies of the world.

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Call Us: 400 820 8988

Asia

Asia / FX

Top-10 investment strategies for 2019: #6
January 16, 2019
Top-10 investment strategies for 2019: #6

#6 Short AUD

China / Rates

Top-10 investment strategies for 2019: #5
January 15, 2019
Top-10 investment strategies for 2019: #5

#5 Bullish 10Y China Government Bonds.

Asia / Credit

Top-10 investment strategies for 2019: #4
January 14, 2019
Top-10 investment strategies for 2019: #4

#4 Support for high grade credit, especially BBB

Key Indicators

  • GDP
  • Inflation
  • Currency
  • Interest Rates
  • GDP
  • Inflation
  • Currency
  • Interest Rates

GDP growth, % YoY

201620172018f2019f2020f
China6.76.96.66.26.0
Hong Kong2.03.83.32.52.0
India*8.07.16.77.17.4
Indonesia5.05.15.15.25.1
Malaysia4.25.94.74.54.2
Philippines**6.96.76.36.56.4
Singapore2.03.63.43.02.8
South Korea2.93.12.72.62.4
Taiwan1.43.12.72.21.8
Thailand3.23.34.13.84.0
Vietnam6.26.86.96.66.3
Eurozone1.82.51.91.81.8
Japan0.91.91.01.00.5
United States***1.52.33.02.51.5
* refers to year ending March **new CPI series *** eop for CPI inflation
Source: CEIC and DBS Group Research

CPI inflation, % YoY

201620172018f2019f2020f
China2.01.62.12.32.3
Hong Kong2.41.52.52.72.5
India*4.94.53.64.04.2
Indonesia3.53.83.23.83.6
Malaysia2.13.81.12.51.6
Philippines**1.32.95.34.73.8
Singapore-0.50.60.71.81.5
South Korea1.01.91.51.71.6
Taiwan1.40.61.51.01.0
Thailand0.20.71.11.41.5
Vietnam2.73.53.63.83.4
Eurozone0.21.51.81.41.4
Japan-0.10.51.01.11.6
United States***1.32.12.62.52.5
* refers to year ending March **new CPI series *** eop for CPI inflation
Source: CEIC and DBS Group Research

Exchange rates, end of period

1Q192Q193Q194Q191Q20
China*7.107.207.157.107.05
Hong Kong7.857.857.847.837.82
India74.0075.0076.0077.0076.50
Indonesia15,00015,20015,40015,60015,500
Malaysia4.254.304.274.254.22
Philippines53.554.054.555.054.8
Singapore**1.421.441.431.421.41
South Korea1,1801,2001,1901,1801,170
Taiwan……………
Thailand33.534.033.833.533.3
Vietnam***23,50023,60023,55023,50023,470
Eurozone1.11.081.091.11.11
Japan116118117116115

* 1-yr lending rate; ** 3M SOR ; *** prime rate

Policy interest rates, end of period

1Q192Q193Q194Q191Q20
China*4.354.354.354.354.35
Hong Kong……………
India6.506.506.506.506.50
Indonesia6.006.006.006.006.00
Malaysia3.253.253.253.253.25
Philippines4.754.754.754.754.75
Singapore**1.802.052.302.302.30
South Korea1.751.751.751.751.75
Taiwan1.381.381.381.381.38
Thailand1.751.751.751.751.75
Vietnam***6.256.256.256.256.00
Eurozone0.000.000.000.000.25
Japan-0.10-0.10-0.10-0.10-0.10

* 1-yr lending rate; ** 3M SOR ; *** prime rate

From the Asian Insights Office

China: Defining the New Normal

China’s push for growth-at-any-cost is being replaced with the “New Normal”.It will fundamentally change how business and investing are done.

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Chinese imports from the US have plunged lately, while exports have held up quite well.

Insights and Analysis

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Research Library...
January 16, 2019

Economics and Macro Strategy

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